10:30 AM
Welcome and Opening RemarksOpening context for Predict 2026 and the first full day of programming.
10:45 AM
Prediction Markets: The Year in ReviewA review of the market, product, regulatory, and trading stories that defined the year.
11:30 AM
Coffee BreakA short networking reset before the next programming block.
11:45 AM
The Origins of Prediction MarketsA look back at the ideas, experiments, and early systems that shaped the field.
12:15 PM
The Regulatory LandscapeRegulatory questions, compliance realities, and the policy environment shaping prediction markets.
12:45 PM
Centralized vs. Decentralized Prediction MarketsComparing centralized venues and decentralized protocols across liquidity, access, compliance, and market design.
1:15 PM
LunchMidday break before the afternoon sessions.
2:15 PM
New Research in Prediction Markets: Session IRecent findings, papers, and research directions advancing prediction markets.
2:45 PM
New Research in Prediction Markets: Session IIAdditional research presentations and discussion on market design, forecasting, and applications.
3:15 PM
How to Price a Prediction MarketPractical approaches to probabilities, pricing, liquidity, and finding fair value in event contracts.
3:45 PM
Coffee BreakA short afternoon reset before the final programming block.
4:00 PM
Enterprise Prediction MarketsHow organizations can use prediction markets for forecasting, decision-making, and risk awareness.
4:30 PM
Keynote: Robin HansonA keynote from prediction market pioneer Robin Hanson on the ideas, institutions, and future of forecasting markets.